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Red200
367467.3
683136.6
255754.7
Blue198
247157.2
644333.8
293074.3
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175171140160180200220200198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+18
Endgame+10
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave6
5Coral scored#10
27Coral points49
30Total auto55
TeleoperatedRed +7
27Coral scored#28
98Coral points101
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
12Processor points18
24Net points8
36Algae points26
134Total teleop127
Reef
11L4#15
10L3#10
6L2#8
5L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#43
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
12Foul points0
200Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.31.6
65.767.3
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
blue by 7.0
2930
#20
74.32.2
70.472.5
Auto21.0
Teleop43.1
End10.2
Second
2557
#30
54.71.6
55.356.9
Auto7.5
Teleop41.5
End5.7
blue by 2.5
2471
#16
57.22.2
53.555.6
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End7.4
Third
6831
#38
36.61.6
32.133.7
Auto4.4
Teleop28.6
End3.6
red by 2.9
6443
#49
33.82.2
30.532.7
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned