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Red212
366382.2
1041640.7
446962.1
Blue167
99736.4
36057.2
406147.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204159100250300212167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+33Teleop
+47Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave9
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points26
44Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +24
32Coral scored#20
116Coral points72
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#8
12Processor points24
24Net points32
36Algae points56
152Total teleop128
Reef
9L4#7
14L3#6
9L2#6
8L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#37
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points2
212Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.21.6
79.981.5
Auto19.6
Teleop51.9
End10.8
red by 25.0
360
#46
57.20.6
59.059.6
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
Second
4469
#43
62.11.6
57.659.2
Auto13.9
Teleop45.8
End2.4
red by 14.9
4061
#42
47.20.6
47.047.6
Auto9.8
Teleop35.7
End1.7
Third
40.71.6
39.541.1
Auto8.9
Teleop28.2
End3.5
red by 4.3
997
#33
36.40.6
39.239.8
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed