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Red194
413141.5
2910115.2
297630.3
Blue218
363663.9
944271.9
1007952.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220202140160180240260280194218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+44
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points48
40Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +30
24Coral scored#28
86Coral points100
2Processor algae#4
8Net algae#9
12Processor points24
32Net points36
44Algae points60
130Total teleop160
Reef
8L4#13
8L3#11
9L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#51
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
194Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.20.1
112.8112.9
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
red by 43.3
9442
#29
71.91.6
69.571.1
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
Second
4131
#41
41.50.1
42.342.4
Auto7.3
Teleop27.7
End6.5
blue by 22.4
3636
#35
63.91.6
62.964.5
Auto13.9
Teleop48.7
End1.3
Third
2976
#48
30.30.1
26.726.8
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End0.3
blue by 21.7
52.11.6
50.251.8
Auto19.6
Teleop29.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed