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Red214
669659.5
404352.0
204678.7
Blue210
241258.8
491558.8
593758.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208183100150250300214210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
25Coral scored#34
89Coral points121
5Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
30Processor points24
20Net points12
50Algae points36
139Total teleop157
Reef
14L4#16
9L3#11
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#48
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points2
214Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.70.8
77.278.1
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
red by 19.9
2412
#24
58.82.0
53.955.9
Auto13.3
Teleop40.2
End5.3
Second
6696
#31
59.50.8
60.661.5
Auto11.4
Teleop47.1
End1.1
red by 0.7
4915
#28
58.82.0
55.157.1
Auto14.2
Teleop38.7
End6.0
Third
4043
#10
52.00.8
49.650.4
Auto11.5
Teleop33.5
End7.0
blue by 6.2
5937
#25
58.12.0
54.656.7
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned