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Red180
131868.8
241258.8
412526.9
Blue157
255754.7
902370.5
1041640.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169194120140160180220240260280180157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+19Teleop
+29Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
9Coral scored#5
47Coral points23
47Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +2
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points57
3Processor algae#5
6Net algae#6
18Processor points30
24Net points24
42Algae points54
109Total teleop111
Reef
11L4#10
9L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points6
180Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.81.9
70.672.5
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
blue by 1.7
70.51.2
70.769.6
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
Second
2412
#24
58.81.9
55.957.8
Auto13.3
Teleop40.2
End5.3
red by 4.2
2557
#30
54.71.2
56.955.7
Auto7.5
Teleop41.5
End5.7
Third
4125
#50
26.91.9
24.826.7
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End0.8
blue by 13.8
40.71.2
41.139.9
Auto8.9
Teleop28.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsEarned82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned