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Red159
297630.3
683136.6
593758.1
Blue216
491558.8
382629.3
177891.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12420550100150250300159216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points31
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +23
27Coral scored#23
97Coral points82
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#10
12Processor points30
20Net points40
32Algae points70
129Total teleop152
Reef
8L4#8
10L3#7
7L2#10
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
159Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#25
58.11.7
56.758.4
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9
blue by 33.7
91.81.5
89.991.4
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
Second
6831
#38
36.61.7
33.735.4
Auto4.4
Teleop28.6
End3.6
blue by 22.1
4915
#28
58.81.5
57.158.6
Auto14.2
Teleop38.7
End6.0
Third
2976
#48
30.31.7
26.828.5
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End0.3
red by 1.1
3826
#45
29.31.5
28.730.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned