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Red210
204678.7
903650.7
406147.2
Blue263
2910115.2
703455.3
451260.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187248150200300350210263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+44
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +44
0Leave9
4Coral scored#11
19Coral points54
19Total auto63
TeleoperatedBlue +7
38Coral scored#37
137Coral points132
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#8
18Processor points18
20Net points32
38Algae points50
175Total teleop182
Reef
18L4#13
9L3#16
8L2#13
7L1 · trough#6
50Game pieces#59
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points2
210Total score263

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.70.9
78.178.9
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
blue by 36.5
115.20.9
112.9113.8
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
Second
9036
#14
50.70.9
50.751.6
Auto3.6
Teleop43.9
End3.2
blue by 10.0
4512
#13
60.70.9
59.860.7
Auto17.7
Teleop40.4
End2.5
Third
4061
#42
47.20.9
46.347.2
Auto9.8
Teleop35.7
End1.7
blue by 8.1
7034
#18
55.30.9
51.252.1
Auto13.6
Teleop33.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned