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Red161
142566.7
36057.2
131868.8
Blue121
644333.8
412526.9
491558.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22412250100150200250300350161121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+50Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points26
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +32
24Coral scored#16
87Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
113Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#8
11L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
161Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.82.6
72.569.9
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
red by 10.0
4915
#28
58.80.1
58.658.8
Auto14.2
Teleop38.7
End6.0
Second
1425
#11
66.72.6
68.666.0
Auto20.2
Teleop38.0
End8.5
red by 32.9
6443
#49
33.80.1
33.633.8
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.1
Third
360
#46
57.22.6
59.556.9
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
red by 30.3
4125
#50
26.90.1
26.726.9
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned