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Red227
204678.7
366382.2
683136.6
Blue191
1007952.1
367467.3
252270.8
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222202150250300227191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
6Coral scored#10
28Coral points52
37Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +57
32Coral scored#22
114Coral points79
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
30Processor points12
20Net points16
50Algae points28
164Total teleop107
Reef
13L4#12
10L3#8
9L2#7
6L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
227Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.21.3
82.483.7
Auto19.6
Teleop51.9
End10.8
red by 11.4
70.80.7
69.668.9
Auto21.5
Teleop44.7
End4.6
Second
78.71.3
78.980.2
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
red by 11.4
67.30.7
67.266.6
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
Third
6831
#38
36.61.3
35.436.6
Auto4.4
Teleop28.6
End3.6
blue by 15.4
52.10.7
52.752.1
Auto19.6
Teleop29.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned