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Red165
94845.9
451362.2
321857.1
Blue182
669659.5
944632.8
154071.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18618050100150250300350165182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+15
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points69
5Processor algae#5
4Net algae#10
30Processor points30
16Net points40
46Algae points70
121Total teleop139
Reef
9L4#10
7L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points2
165Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#22
62.20.6
64.363.7
Auto7.9
Teleop42.3
End12.0
blue by 9.1
71.20.7
70.270.9
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End8.2
Second
3218
#23
57.10.6
57.757.1
Auto13.6
Teleop38.0
End5.4
blue by 2.4
6696
#31
59.50.7
58.859.5
Auto11.4
Teleop47.1
End1.1
Third
948
#44
45.90.6
44.043.4
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
red by 13.1
9446
#34
32.80.7
32.232.8
Auto5.7
Teleop23.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed