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Red240
945082.5
94845.9
177891.8
Blue265
2910115.2
703455.3
293074.3
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229259150200300350240265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+5
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +20
9Leave0
10Coral scored#15
48Coral points77
57Total auto77
TeleoperatedRed +15
28Coral scored#27
101Coral points96
3Processor algae#4
12Net algae#8
18Processor points24
48Net points32
66Algae points56
167Total teleop152
Reef
14L4#17
10L3#13
8L2#7
6L1 · trough#5
53Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
240Total score265

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.80.5
90.390.8
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
blue by 23.4
115.20.6
113.4114.0
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
Second
9450
#15
82.50.5
80.981.5
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
red by 8.1
2930
#20
74.30.6
72.573.1
Auto21.0
Teleop43.1
End10.2
Third
948
#44
45.90.5
44.444.9
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 9.4
7034
#18
55.30.6
53.554.1
Auto13.6
Teleop33.7
End8.0