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Red181
204678.7
451362.2
366382.2
Blue201
944271.9
36057.2
154071.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251205150300181201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+38
Endgame+16
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
7Coral scored#8
35Coral points38
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +38
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points67
4Processor algae#7
6Net algae#7
24Processor points42
24Net points28
48Algae points70
99Total teleop137
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#41
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points6
181Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.21.1
83.382.2
Auto19.6
Teleop51.9
End10.8
red by 10.3
9442
#29
71.90.1
71.671.5
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
Second
78.71.1
79.878.7
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
red by 7.5
71.20.1
70.970.8
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End8.2
Third
4513
#22
62.21.1
63.362.2
Auto7.9
Teleop42.3
End12.0
red by 5.0
360
#46
57.20.1
56.856.7
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9