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Red146
301555.5
354422.8
399048.7
Blue90
398640.7
494741.3
561821.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381108010012016018020014690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points14
40Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#10
60Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
80Total teleop54
Reef
10L4#4
4L3#5
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
146Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.5
54.254.7
Auto15.6
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 14.1
41.30.3
41.841.5
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
Second
48.70.5
47.447.9
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 7.9
40.70.3
41.240.9
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Third
3544
#26
22.80.5
21.522.0
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 1.6
5618
#16
21.10.3
21.621.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.2