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Red170
301555.5
354422.8
399048.7
Blue97
398640.7
494741.3
561821.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140108608010012016018020017097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+49Teleop
+61Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points28
40Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +43
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
6Processor points12
20Net points4
26Algae points16
92Total teleop49
Reef
10L4#4
8L3#7
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +73
12Foul points0
170Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.7
54.755.5
Auto15.6
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 14.1
41.30.1
41.541.3
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
Second
48.70.7
47.948.7
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 7.9
40.70.1
40.940.7
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Third
3544
#26
22.80.7
22.022.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 1.6
5618
#16
21.10.1
21.321.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.2