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Red86
29616.0
336028.9
355025.8
Blue142
552835.0
923433.1
813226.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7579020406010012014016086142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+40
Endgame+38
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +36
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points52
0Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
0Processor points18
12Net points24
12Algae points42
58Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points18
86Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#15
28.90.0
20.720.7
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End3.4
blue by 6.1
35.04.1
26.130.2
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
Second
3550
#10
25.80.0
24.925.0
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.2
blue by 7.3
33.14.1
20.724.8
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End5.3
Third
296
#28
16.00.0
17.117.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 10.4
26.44.1
19.323.4
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned