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Red105
940627.3
353213.4
494741.3
Blue60
354422.8
544320.4
662218.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83580204010012014010560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+25Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +27
14Coral scored#6
49Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
63Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
105Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.33.8
25.929.7
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
red by 18.6
3544
#26
22.80.6
23.524.1
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Second
27.33.8
28.432.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.8
End5.2
red by 6.9
5443
#19
20.40.6
14.114.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Third
3532
#21
13.43.8
10.914.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End1.1
blue by 5.2
6622
#23
18.70.6
11.211.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed