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Red61
495517.0
692915.9
355025.8
Blue111
813226.4
495224.5
398640.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687505010015020061111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points13
22Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +35
6Coral scored#15
23Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
33Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
61Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3550
#10
25.80.4
25.024.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.2
blue by 14.9
40.74.7
23.828.5
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Second
4955
#24
17.00.4
15.515.1
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 9.5
26.44.7
23.428.1
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.1
Third
6929
#25
15.90.4
16.315.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End6.2
blue by 8.5
4952
#17
24.54.7
12.717.4
Auto2.9
Teleop13.3
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned