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Red76
923433.1
760529.0
940627.3
Blue67
82249.6
552835.0
311727.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9669204060801201401607667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+29Teleop
+7Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +16
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
54Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points0
76Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.7
24.824.2
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End5.3
blue by 1.9
35.00.7
30.230.8
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
Second
7605
#20
29.00.7
22.922.3
Auto6.1
Teleop21.9
End1.0
red by 1.2
3117
#22
27.80.7
22.723.3
Auto4.8
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Third
27.30.7
32.231.6
Auto4.2
Teleop17.8
End5.2
red by 17.6
8224
#29
9.60.7
8.38.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned