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Red66
561821.1
910217.5
354422.8
Blue46
398515.4
686911.7
29616.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74540204060801001206646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#8
29Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
47Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
66Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3544
#26
22.81.3
24.122.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 6.7
296
#28
16.01.1
17.216.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Second
5618
#16
21.11.3
19.618.4
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.2
red by 5.7
3985
#30
15.41.1
14.513.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Third
9102
#27
17.51.3
18.817.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.2
red by 5.9
6869
#36
11.71.1
12.511.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed