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Red71
399614.2
561821.1
399048.7
Blue98
494741.3
65407.8
398640.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89752040601001207198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+17
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
37Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points10
71Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.7
43.943.2
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 7.3
41.32.0
31.133.1
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
Second
5618
#16
21.11.1
19.518.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.2
blue by 19.6
40.72.0
31.133.0
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Third
3996
#34
14.21.1
17.716.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
red by 6.4
6540
#37
7.82.0
8.310.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned