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Red85
355025.8
760529.0
80678.4
Blue94
815212.7
692915.9
747122.6
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71530204060801008594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
+21Endgame
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
47Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
6Foul points36
85Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7605
#20
29.00.4
23.323.6
Auto6.1
Teleop21.9
End1.0
red by 6.3
7471
#18
22.60.4
20.620.2
Auto3.7
Teleop18.1
End0.8
Second
3550
#10
25.80.4
26.326.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.2
red by 9.9
6929
#25
15.90.4
13.312.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End6.2
Third
8067
#35
8.40.4
11.211.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.9
blue by 4.3
8152
#32
12.70.4
14.614.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed