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Red98
544021.6
24428.7
262625.2
Blue64
354422.8
77008.1
495517.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815002040601001209864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +23
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
67Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points2
98Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#11
28.71.0
25.926.9
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End4.6
red by 5.9
3544
#26
22.80.2
18.919.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
Second
2626
#12
25.21.0
19.020.0
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End2.9
red by 8.3
4955
#24
17.00.2
16.016.2
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
5440
#13
21.61.0
21.022.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.3
red by 13.5
7700
#33
8.10.2
8.58.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed