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Red71
311727.8
353213.4
354422.8
Blue79
495224.5
77008.1
262625.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70582040801007179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
55Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
71Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#22
27.80.3
23.223.5
Auto4.8
Teleop20.7
End2.3
red by 2.5
2626
#12
25.22.8
20.022.8
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End2.9
Second
3544
#26
22.80.3
19.219.5
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
blue by 1.7
4952
#17
24.52.8
16.018.8
Auto2.9
Teleop13.3
End8.3
Third
3532
#21
13.40.3
14.414.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End1.1
red by 5.3
7700
#33
8.12.8
8.711.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned