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Red97
923433.1
692915.9
24428.7
Blue56
544320.4
398515.4
815212.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8655020401001209756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+21Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points3
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
56Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
97Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.12.6
28.230.8
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End5.3
red by 12.7
5443
#19
20.40.2
20.120.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Second
244
#11
28.72.6
26.929.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End4.6
red by 13.3
3985
#30
15.40.2
13.613.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Third
6929
#25
15.92.6
12.915.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End6.2
red by 3.3
8152
#32
12.70.2
14.214.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed