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Red65
399614.2
910217.5
494741.3
Blue100
940627.3
747122.6
552835.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74952040608012014065100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
12Coral scored#12
44Coral points44
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
58Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points12
65Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.9
33.132.2
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
red by 6.4
35.00.1
30.530.6
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
Second
9102
#27
17.50.9
17.716.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.2
blue by 9.7
27.30.1
31.031.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.8
End5.2
Third
3996
#34
14.20.9
16.615.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
blue by 8.4
7471
#18
22.60.1
20.220.3
Auto3.7
Teleop18.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned