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Red104
398515.4
494741.3
923433.1
Blue81
495224.5
962428.3
399614.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986520408012014010481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
72Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points6
104Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.9
32.234.1
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
red by 13.0
9624
#14
28.31.1
24.125.2
Auto8.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Second
33.11.9
30.832.7
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End5.3
red by 8.6
4952
#17
24.51.1
18.819.9
Auto2.9
Teleop13.3
End8.3
Third
3985
#30
15.41.9
13.915.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.9
red by 1.2
3996
#34
14.21.1
15.716.8
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned