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Red81
399048.7
940627.3
29616.0
Blue45
262625.2
747122.6
353311.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115662040801001401608145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
49Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
81Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.71.0
44.843.8
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 23.4
2626
#12
25.21.6
22.821.2
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End2.9
Second
27.31.6
31.129.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.8
End5.2
red by 4.6
7471
#18
22.61.6
20.318.7
Auto3.7
Teleop18.1
End0.8
Third
296
#28
16.01.7
17.415.7
Auto4.0
Teleop9.0
End3.0
red by 4.8
3533
#31
11.21.6
14.613.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed