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Red103
336028.9
311727.8
561821.1
Blue132
301555.5
495517.0
398640.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741064060120140160103132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave3
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points37
12Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +1
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
77Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
103Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#15
28.93.5
26.029.6
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End3.4
blue by 26.6
55.54.7
37.141.9
Auto15.6
Teleop32.4
End7.5
Second
3117
#22
27.83.8
23.527.3
Auto4.8
Teleop20.7
End2.3
blue by 13.0
40.74.4
33.437.8
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Third
5618
#16
21.13.5
19.322.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.2
red by 4.2
4955
#24
17.04.4
18.923.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned