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Red97
543936.4
65407.8
692915.9
Blue105
662218.7
686911.7
552835.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6381204010012097105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
40Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
18Foul points30
97Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.43.1
27.630.6
Auto8.4
Teleop21.0
End7.1
red by 1.5
35.00.4
30.631.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
Second
6929
#25
15.92.9
15.518.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End6.2
blue by 2.7
6622
#23
18.70.4
17.718.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Third
6540
#37
7.82.9
8.311.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 3.9
6869
#36
11.70.4
13.814.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned