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Red73
80678.4
544320.4
962428.3
Blue83
495224.5
29616.0
544021.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69754060801001207383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
57Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
73Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9624
#14
28.30.2
25.225.4
Auto8.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
red by 3.9
4952
#17
24.50.1
19.920.0
Auto2.9
Teleop13.3
End8.3
Second
5443
#19
20.40.3
20.620.9
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 1.3
5440
#13
21.60.1
19.019.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.3
Third
8067
#35
8.40.2
9.710.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.9
blue by 7.7
296
#28
16.00.1
15.715.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned