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Red55
77008.1
24428.7
82249.6
Blue115
494741.3
355025.8
747122.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549620408012014055115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+44
Endgame+52
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +43
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points40
1Processor algae#4
1Net algae#4
6Processor points24
4Net points16
10Algae points40
37Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points8
55Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#11
28.70.9
28.127.2
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End4.6
blue by 12.7
41.31.3
34.135.4
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
Second
8224
#29
9.60.9
11.210.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End2.4
blue by 16.2
3550
#10
25.81.3
25.927.1
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.2
Third
7700
#33
8.10.9
11.810.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 14.5
7471
#18
22.61.3
18.720.0
Auto3.7
Teleop18.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned