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Red163
399048.7
311727.8
398640.7
Blue97
662218.7
815212.7
940627.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129685010015020016397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+56Teleop
+42Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +31
19Coral scored#13
68Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
100Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
9L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
24Foul points0
163Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.4
43.844.2
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 21.4
27.30.8
29.530.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.8
End5.2
Second
40.70.6
37.838.3
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
red by 22.1
6622
#23
18.70.8
18.119.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.5
End3.4
Third
3117
#22
27.80.6
27.327.9
Auto4.8
Teleop20.7
End2.3
red by 15.1
8152
#32
12.70.8
14.515.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned