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Red66
552835.0
495517.0
561821.1
Blue103
923433.1
543936.4
910217.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858760708010011012066103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+35
Endgame+45
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
35Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
8Foul points0
66Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.02.0
31.029.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
blue by 1.5
36.42.4
30.633.0
Auto8.4
Teleop21.0
End7.1
Second
5618
#16
21.11.9
22.821.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.2
blue by 12.0
33.12.2
32.735.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End5.3
Third
4955
#24
17.01.9
23.421.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 0.6
9102
#27
17.52.2
16.418.6
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned