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Red40
686911.7
692915.9
77008.1
Blue74
336028.9
82249.6
398515.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5467204060801004074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
4Coral scored#8
15Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
19Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points12
40Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6929
#25
15.91.2
18.417.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End6.2
blue by 12.9
3360
#15
28.90.2
29.629.3
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End3.4
Second
6869
#36
11.71.2
14.213.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.9
blue by 3.7
3985
#30
15.40.2
15.415.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Third
7700
#33
8.11.1
10.99.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 1.5
8224
#29
9.60.2
10.310.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed