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Red107
747122.6
24428.7
662218.7
Blue120
962428.3
544021.6
494741.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841024060120140107120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
19Coral scored#14
70Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
94Total teleop88
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
107Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#11
28.71.3
27.228.6
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End4.6
blue by 12.7
41.31.4
35.436.8
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
Second
7471
#18
22.61.3
20.021.3
Auto3.7
Teleop18.1
End0.8
blue by 5.7
9624
#14
28.31.4
25.426.9
Auto8.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Third
6622
#23
18.71.3
19.020.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.5
End3.4
blue by 3.0
5440
#13
21.61.4
19.120.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned