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Red55
544320.4
355025.8
353213.4
Blue37
495517.0
353311.2
399614.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8158020401001205537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#3
31Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
41Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points6
55Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3550
#10
25.80.8
27.126.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.2
red by 8.8
4955
#24
17.01.7
21.519.8
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Second
5443
#19
20.40.8
22.822.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
red by 6.1
3996
#34
14.21.7
17.315.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Third
3532
#21
13.40.8
14.113.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End1.1
red by 2.2
3533
#31
11.21.7
11.59.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed