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Red105
760529.0
813226.4
399048.7
Blue45
80678.4
561821.1
686911.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11144020608010012014016010545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+42Teleop
+54Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#5
32Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
46Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#3
2L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
12Foul points6
105Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.1
44.244.1
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 27.5
5618
#16
21.10.4
21.020.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.2
Second
7605
#20
29.00.1
26.126.0
Auto6.1
Teleop21.9
End1.0
red by 17.3
6869
#36
11.70.4
13.012.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Third
26.40.1
23.923.8
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.1
red by 18.1
8067
#35
8.40.4
10.09.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed