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Red93
262625.2
336028.9
813226.4
Blue25
80678.4
311727.8
692915.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9067204060801001201409325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+58Teleop
+48Endgame
+68Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +58
12Coral scored#1
44Coral points2
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
12Processor points0
4Net points0
16Algae points0
60Total teleop2
Reef
5L4#0
3L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
20Foul points0
93Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#15
28.90.3
29.929.6
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End3.4
red by 1.1
3117
#22
27.82.8
32.429.5
Auto4.8
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Second
26.40.3
23.823.5
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.1
red by 10.5
6929
#25
15.92.8
17.815.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End6.2
Third
2626
#12
25.20.3
23.323.0
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End2.9
red by 16.9
8067
#35
8.42.8
9.56.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned