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Red115
354422.8
301555.5
398515.4
Blue131
747122.6
399048.7
544320.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95101050150200250115131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points23
33Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points41
0Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
0Processor points18
16Net points20
16Algae points38
68Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points12
115Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.51.5
48.550.1
Auto15.6
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 6.8
48.71.4
44.145.5
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
Second
3544
#26
22.81.5
18.119.6
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 0.1
7471
#18
22.61.7
21.323.0
Auto3.7
Teleop18.1
End0.8
Third
3985
#30
15.41.5
15.216.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.9
blue by 5.0
5443
#19
20.41.6
18.820.4
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned