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Red38
77008.1
662218.7
65407.8
Blue92
399614.2
543936.4
355025.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4610102060801201401603892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+32
Endgame+42
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +19
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
28Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points12
38Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6622
#23
18.70.8
19.919.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.5
End3.4
blue by 17.8
36.40.7
37.436.8
Auto8.4
Teleop21.0
End7.1
Second
7700
#33
8.10.8
8.98.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 17.7
3550
#10
25.80.7
25.024.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.2
Third
6540
#37
7.80.8
8.67.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 6.4
3996
#34
14.20.7
15.214.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned