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Red92
815212.7
552835.0
262625.2
Blue109
962428.3
398640.7
760529.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7811020406010012014016092109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
47Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points0
92Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.0
32.433.4
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
blue by 5.8
40.70.9
39.039.9
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
Second
2626
#12
25.21.0
23.024.0
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End2.9
blue by 3.7
7605
#20
29.00.9
26.627.5
Auto6.1
Teleop21.9
End1.0
Third
8152
#32
12.71.0
11.712.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 15.7
9624
#14
28.30.9
26.026.8
Auto8.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned