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Red59
398515.4
940627.3
311727.8
Blue63
24428.7
80678.4
495517.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956102040801201405963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +2
8Coral scored#7
27Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
41Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points6
59Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#22
27.81.4
29.528.2
Auto4.8
Teleop20.7
End2.3
blue by 0.9
244
#11
28.70.4
28.829.2
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End4.6
Second
27.31.4
29.027.6
Auto4.2
Teleop17.8
End5.2
red by 10.3
4955
#24
17.00.4
16.617.0
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
3985
#30
15.41.4
16.715.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.9
red by 7.0
8067
#35
8.40.4
6.77.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed