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Red109
692915.9
494741.3
813226.4
Blue67
29616.0
747122.6
910217.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936420408010012014010967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+20Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +7
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
64Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
109Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.4
39.140.5
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
red by 18.7
7471
#18
22.60.4
23.022.6
Auto3.7
Teleop18.1
End0.8
Second
26.41.4
23.524.8
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.1
red by 8.9
9102
#27
17.50.4
17.917.5
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Third
6929
#25
15.91.4
15.016.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End6.2
blue by 0.1
296
#28
16.00.4
16.416.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed