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Red156
301555.5
354422.8
399048.7
Blue71
80678.4
495224.5
262625.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14454010020015671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+75Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
20Coral scored#9
71Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
95Total teleop48
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#3
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
156Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.9
52.153.0
Auto15.6
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 30.2
2626
#12
25.20.4
24.024.3
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End2.9
Second
48.70.9
45.346.2
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 24.2
4952
#17
24.50.4
23.223.6
Auto2.9
Teleop13.3
End8.3
Third
3544
#26
22.80.9
19.420.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 14.4
8067
#35
8.40.4
7.17.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End1.9