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Red133
813226.4
544021.6
552835.0
Blue71
940627.3
692915.9
311727.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988840608012013371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+52Teleop
+54Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
26Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +41
17Coral scored#8
61Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
83Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +62
8Foul points0
133Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.6
33.434.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
red by 7.2
3117
#22
27.80.4
28.227.8
Auto4.8
Teleop20.7
End2.3
Second
26.40.6
24.825.5
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.1
blue by 0.8
27.30.4
27.627.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.8
End5.2
Third
5440
#13
21.60.6
20.020.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.3
red by 5.7
6929
#25
15.90.4
16.316.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End6.2