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Red97
336028.9
24428.7
662218.7
Blue115
962428.3
355025.8
760529.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97101608012014097115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto19
Teleoperatedlevel
15Coral scored#13
54Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
80Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points2
97Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#15
28.90.3
29.128.9
Auto5.5
Teleop20.0
End3.4
blue by 0.1
7605
#20
29.00.2
27.327.6
Auto6.1
Teleop21.9
End1.0
Second
244
#11
28.70.3
28.928.7
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End4.6
red by 0.3
9624
#14
28.30.2
26.726.9
Auto8.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Third
6622
#23
18.70.3
18.918.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.5
End3.4
blue by 7.2
3550
#10
25.80.2
24.224.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.2