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Red168
301555.5
354422.8
399048.7
Blue119
813226.4
544021.6
552835.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1499550200168119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+73Teleop
+61Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
43Coral points13
43Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +49
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
111Total teleop62
Reef
12L4#5
8L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points12
168Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.9
53.053.9
Auto15.6
Teleop32.4
End7.5
red by 20.5
35.00.4
34.034.4
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
Second
48.70.9
46.247.1
Auto13.6
Teleop27.2
End7.9
red by 22.2
26.40.4
25.525.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.1
Third
3544
#26
22.80.9
20.221.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 1.1
5440
#13
21.60.4
20.721.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.3