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Red123
561821.1
494741.3
398640.7
Blue77
399614.2
543936.4
923433.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11183406010012014016012377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points7
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
55Total teleop45
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +46
2Foul points0
123Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.4
40.841.2
Auto6.3
Teleop25.5
End9.5
red by 4.9
36.40.1
36.336.2
Auto8.4
Teleop21.0
End7.1
Second
40.70.4
40.240.6
Auto14.9
Teleop21.5
End4.4
red by 7.7
33.10.1
33.032.9
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End5.3
Third
5618
#16
21.10.4
20.621.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End2.2
red by 6.9
3996
#34
14.20.1
14.114.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End0.8