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Red128
813226.4
544021.6
552835.0
Blue142
962428.3
355025.8
760529.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710280120140160128142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+18
+4Endgame
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points65
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
83Total teleop97
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#28
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points18
128Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.6
34.435.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End8.8
red by 6.0
7605
#20
29.00.5
27.628.1
Auto6.1
Teleop21.9
End1.0
Second
26.40.6
25.926.4
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End6.1
blue by 1.9
9624
#14
28.30.5
26.927.4
Auto8.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
Third
5440
#13
21.60.6
21.121.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.3
blue by 4.2
3550
#10
25.80.5
24.424.9
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.2