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Red140
176852.4
596218.6
19071.7
Blue176
7855.0
8858.1
34821.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150139100120160180200220140176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+14
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +7
22Coral scored#16
78Coral points59
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#6
12Processor points30
16Net points24
28Algae points54
106Total teleop113
Reef
12L4#10
9L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
140Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
71.70.0
71.371.2
Auto18.3
Teleop45.0
End8.4
red by 13.6
88
#2
58.11.0
57.158.1
Auto12.5
Teleop37.2
End8.4
Second
52.40.0
51.951.9
Auto7.7
Teleop37.7
End7.0
blue by 2.7
78
#7
55.01.0
54.055.0
Auto10.4
Teleop36.3
End8.3
Third
5962
#37
18.60.0
18.218.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.7
End1.2
blue by 2.9
348
#18
21.51.0
20.521.5
Auto3.1
Teleop15.1
End3.3